ABSTRACT

This volume discusses the challenges the future holds for different aspects of the intelligence process and for organisations working in the field.

The main focus of Western intelligence services is no longer on the intentions and capabilities of the Soviet Union and its allies. Instead, at present, there is a plethora of threats and problems that deserve attention. Some of these problems are short-term and potentially acute, such as terrorism. Others, such as the exhaustion of natural resources, are longer-term and by nature often more difficult to foresee in their implications.

This book analyses the different activities that make up the intelligence process, or the ‘intelligence cycle’, with a focus on changes brought about by external developments in the international arena, such as technology and security threats. Drawing together a range of key thinkers in the field, The Future of Intelligence examines possible scenarios for future developments, including estimations about their plausibility, and the possible consequences for the functioning of intelligence and security services.

This book will be of much interest to students of intelligence studies, strategic studies, foreign policy, security studies and IR in general.

chapter 1|13 pages

By way of introduction

A systemic way of looking at the future of intelligence

chapter 2|13 pages

The future of intelligence

What are the threats, the challenges and the opportunities?

chapter 3|12 pages

The future of intelligence

Changing threats, evolving methods

chapter 5|11 pages

The future of the intelligence process

The end of the intelligence cycle?

chapter 6|22 pages

The future of counter-intelligence

The twenty-first-century challenge

chapter 7|14 pages

Analysing international intelligence cooperation

Institutions or intelligence assemblages?

chapter 9|20 pages

Intelligence-led policing in Europe

Lingering between idea and implementation

chapter 10|16 pages

The next 100 years?

Reflections on the future of intelligence

chapter 11|13 pages

Conclusions

It may be 10 September 2001 today