ABSTRACT
Both static and dynamic factors contributed to desistance but indicated that dynamic factors, particularly criminal cognitions, were more important. This chapter examines whether the same factors predict long-term outcomes. Because all of the participants were on probation when they were interviewed, the chapter adds to an extra dimension to knowledge about the long-term impact of probation supervision for repeat offenders. The majority of new offences were relatively minor, particularly when they are compared to the offences for which participants received their original probation order. One of the most striking findings in the analysis was the length of time it took for participants to acquire their first reconviction. Age at time of interview was important for both primary and secondary desistance and age at onset of offending was important for primary desistance. It was hypothesised that the redemption script may be a later development in the desistance process and would therefore not be evident in the early stages of change.
