ABSTRACT

Chapter 13 reveals significant discrepancies between the results of previous population statistics and projections and the simulated population changes between 1990 and 2010 based on the 6th census data. It shows that the results and projections of past studies are inaccurate and have contributed to the misjudgment of population trends. Over the past decades, due to the lack of awareness of low fertility and over-emphasis on underreporting of births, births and fertility rates have been overestimated, while the trend of population aging has been underestimated.