ABSTRACT

The simulation ran at first exactly as before, but after a couple of days some very small differences occurred to the first run. After a while these differences grew to an outcome that was vastly different – the simulation ended in weather state poles apart from the first run, despite such a very small change at the start. There are two broad approaches to change. The first is linear and one which people are no doubt already aware of, but it is still worth looking at, not least the typical traps that people might fall into. The second approach is even more dynamic and draws on Complexity Science. The butterfly effect is very significant as, on the face of it, it seems to break the first law of thermodynamics, sometimes known as the Law of the Conservation of Energy, which can be summarised as: the effort people put in will dictate the result people get out.