ABSTRACT
How can we account for the fact that many pilots feel just as invulnerable to the risks of flying as the gambler in the above quote? How can we account for the fact that many of the decisions people make are far worse than one would predict even considering that they can't compute probabilities very well as we saw in the previous chapter? What are the forces that cause us to make. decisions 'against our better judgment'? Such decisions may be considered 'stupid' or irrational afterward, but are they really? In this chapter we will look at motivational judgment in aviation. We will see that people may be just as defective in assigning proper values to the judgment equation as they are in computing probabilities. If rational judgment is the science of flying, motivational judgment is 'the art of flying'.
