Predicting a Presidential Election?
In the second example, Newsweek pointed out that every time the New York Yankees won the World Series during an election year, the Republican candidate has won the White House. 2 However, up to the point that the election was held, the
1976. Also notice that there is no reason in theory to expect the outcome of the World Series to be related to the outcome of a presidential election. This is important because a finding based on a very small sample that has no basis in logic or theory is especially suspicious.