ABSTRACT

ABSTRACT Driven by the premise that reducing uncertainty in the sociocultural decision information will increase trust, this chapter advocates the use of uncertainty reduction and uncertainty management methods for sociocultural applications. The chapter rst describes the importance of uncertainty as an important determinant of trust for sociocultural model-based decision making. Methods to characterize the uncertainty and

CONTENTS

Motivations .................................................................................................................................. 290 Characterizing Uncertainty ....................................................................................................... 291

Data Uncertainties .................................................................................................................. 292 Uncertainty Representation .................................................................................................. 292 Uncertainty Caused by Communication Mechanisms ..................................................... 295 Data to Decisions-Characterizing How Uncertainty Propagates ................................. 295

Propagation of Uncertainty in the Data-to-Decisions Process .................................... 297 Data Preprocessing ............................................................................................................ 297 Data Processing .................................................................................................................. 297 Information Processing ..................................................................................................... 297 Knowledge Renement .................................................................................................... 297

Reducing and Managing Uncertainty ...................................................................................... 298 Measuring and Reducing Uncertainty in Sociocultural Models ..................................... 298

Information Theoretic Methods for Characterizing and Reducing Uncertainty ..... 299 Reducing Uncertainty Using Bayesian Fusion ..............................................................303