ABSTRACT

The study of political change has fascinated commentators from Plato and Confucius in the ancient world to modern scholars such as Marx and Max Weber. In the post-World War II era, and especially in the decade of the 1960s when radical protest movements arose worldwide in tandem with terrorism and urban rioting, there was a marked upsurge in the popularity of this subject. 1 As would be expected, criticisms of theories of change have kept pace, charging irreconcilability among theoretical formulations, subjectivity, ambiguity, and self-contradiction. 2 Yet recent scholarship has made significant advances. Descriptive theorists such as Sorokin and Brinton were followed by thinkers such as Davies, Gurr, Johnson, and Smelser, who emphasized structural-functional and frustration-aggression theories. More recent analysts like Eisenstadt and Skocpol have developed theories that stress interest-group conflicts which exceed the conflict-mediation capabilities of political institutions. 3