ABSTRACT
This chapter attempts to gauge the extent to which policy is influenced by the non-linear elements of hostility and chance. Divided into three primary sections, the chapter identifies the original purpose of each of the main belligerents at the start of the conflict and assesses the impact of the Trinity's reciprocity on these aims as the war progresses. When the Croatian war aims are assessed following Dayton, it is evident that it succeeded in its core aim the territorial integrity of Croatia. While the Bosniaks succeeded in the second of their war aims, the initial policy securing the inviolability of Bosnia-Herzegovina's borders was shaped and prevented as the competing, interplaying components of the Trinity collided. The purpose of the chapter has been to think about the influence which hostility and chance had on policy and purpose as the war unfolded.
