ABSTRACT

This chapter compares three statistical techniques used to support decision making, where human judgements are vital: multiple linear regression, multi-criteria analysis and principal components analysis. It provides new evidence about naturalistic decision making and aviation psychology in general, while also contributing to quick decision making under uncertainty circumstances. The chapter also identifies the research problem, the objectives and the hypothesis, and then provides a review of the literature. The research problem framed in the chapter is the attribution of weights in the judgement of aptitude for military piloting. The primary objective is to contribute to the fields of naturalistic decision making and aviation psychology. As a secondary objective, the chapter intends to shed new light on the use of intuition in quick decision making under uncertainty circumstances and thus improve the instruments for selection and training of the young pilots of the Brazilian Air Force Academy (AFA).