ABSTRACT

This chapter takes stock of the ideas which have been formed to make up the central concept of the reasoning chain. This controlling narrative is a new approach to risk-based resilience reasoning systems in large, complex and distributed organisations. Noting that these organisations are particularly focused on a triple helix of chain metaphors – the supply, value and reputation chains – and the evidence that normative approaches to risk and resilience do not complement this architecture, we propose a disruptive approach. A reasoning chain can be intentionally designed on a strategically equal footing with this triple helix. To arrive at this highly desirable position, we propose a flat rejection of the multiple dialects of risk assessment which currently surround the triple helix with a postmodern narrative focused on external reassurance. A reasoning chain would qualitatively differentiate the reasoning requirements of normative business versus risk-based resilience. Only a significant reformation of the constructs of the latter can intentionally underpin the former. We offer guidelines to redress the definitional and pragmatic limitations of existing practices, creating instead an intentional strategic framework. Principles, such as cognitive behavioural framing and business case formulation, elevate this risk-based resilience reasoning to a full working partnership creating a seamless, validated quadruple helix.