ABSTRACT

After exploring the life and major contributions of Wack, it feels appropriate to consider how anyone interested in scenarios can benefit from his story. While much of that will be left to the reader, there are a few points that are worth particular observation in this concluding chapter. In some ways, Wack’s approach to scenarios was dramatically different than how the discipline is commonly practiced today. Debates about the inductive or deductive method, pros and cons of the 2x2 matrix approach, how scenarios may fit with back-casting, three-day workshops versus 12-month scenario engagements, etc., are moot points. Though some may disagree, any scenario planning—regardless of the finer points of how it is practiced—is better than no scenario planning. However, to achieve truly deep knowledge and profound insights, to embed scenario thinking throughout the organization, to influence decision making with strategic options, and to change the culture of the entire organization and its view of the future the way Wack was able to achieve, well, all this is incredibly rare.