ABSTRACT

For many socialists, Castro’s Cuba represents an exciting radical alternative to the stale orthodoxies of Marxism-Leninism. Relying heavily on sources sympathetic to the Cuban experiment, this chapter will try to explain why the results have been so disappointing. Before Castro and Guevara wrested power from General Batista’s murderous regime in 1958–9, Cuba’s per capita national income was around 50 per cent above the average for Latin America and ‘Only Venezuela and Argentina, of the larger Latin American countries, had a higher average income’ (Seers, 1964, 18). But by 1970 Cuba’s per capita GDP was approximately 2 per cent below the average for Latin America and her relative decline continued in the 1970s (UN Economic Bulletin for Latin America, 1967, 108; Warren, 1980, 230; Bairoch, 1975, 193, 247; Wynia, 1978, 326; World Bank, 1980, 110–11):

Current US dollars per capita

Latin America

Cuba

El Salvador

Guatemala

Peru

GDP, 1950

247

372

148

166

121

GNP, 1959–61

350

500 *

321

269

198

GDP, 1970

540

530

295

350

435

GNP, 1974

937

640

410

580

740

GNP, 1978

1362

810

660

910

740

Current US dollars per capita

Columbia

Brazil

Mexico

Argentina

201

208

211

496

GNP, 1959–61

253

267

348

551

GDP, 1970

315

365

660

1055

GNP, 1974

500

920

1090

1520

GNP, 1978

850

1570

1290

1910

1957: Seers, 1974, 264.