ABSTRACT
This chapter shows how a transition away from oil used for transport could be managed through anticipation. It focuses on two countries, the US and China. The US is the most challenging case among richer countries because it generates much more transport activity and uses much more oil for transport per capita than any other country. The cuts in oil used by transport should be proportionately larger than the overall reduction in oil use. Poorer countries could plan to increase their use liquid fuels for transport by no more than 25 percent, that is, more than they are using now but less than they are projected to use. A US transport revolution that develops the capacity to use as little oil for the transport sector as possible would appear a more attractive prospect than further use of military power to secure a steady flow of oil from foreign sources.
