ABSTRACT
This chapter focuses on the challenges that the East Asian formula for peace faces the maritime areas and elsewhere in the foreseeable future. There are at least two ways of assessing whether or not the East Asian peace will survive the next few decades. One is to look backwards to see the relapses of peace before the Long Peace of East Asia, and the other is to look at foreseeable new challenges to the East Asian approach. The short peace was also characterized by culture in which "winning the hearts and minds" of potential rebel constituencies was crucial for intrastate peace. Democratization has made it difficult for governments to play down issues that divide and focus on issues that unite. However, development towards democracy might have its positive impacts on peace to compensate for the weakening elements of the East Asian formula for peace. Prosperity tends to direct the attention of people away from survival values and towards self-expression values.
