ABSTRACT

The peace-centric approach states that proximity of conflicts to the Cold War increased the likelihood of foreign interventions. Interventions have the highest probability of success in an international climate of cooperation between the world superpowers, when undertaken by a coalition of states, by a country with absolute and relative power superiority vis-a-vis the target government, and those under the aegis of an international/regional organization. During the Cold War, conflicts at the systemic level were brought down to the domestic rivalry in the allied states where the belligerent groups sharing conflicting ideologies acted as pawns of superpower rivalry. Intervention may also involve official mediation or arbitration efforts by single actors and/or multinational institutions or clandestine military and/or economic support to warring parties. The probit model essentially showed that multilateral interventions were more successful than unilateral interventions notwithstanding their substance and the type of support they provided.