Nowcasting and forecasting electoral campaigns: evidence from France, the United States and Italy

Summary of electoral forecasts made through SASA In the current and in the next chapter we show how the information available on social media can be successfully used to nowcast and forecast electoral campaigns. We focus in particular on five different examples. In Chapter 5, these forecasts, along with many other predictions produced by different scholars (and through different methods), are then used to assess the accuracy and the reliability of social media-based electoral forecasts.