ABSTRACT

To better answer the research questions, a set of five hypotheses have been defined that support claims in the areas of urban growth, riverine flooding and pluvial flooding. The first hypothesis supports the claim that the spatial characteristics of urban growth differ for every city. The second hypothesis focuses on successfully mimicking observed spatial trends in order to create extrapolations of those trends as future baseline scenarios. The third hypothesis addresses the issue that the changes in future flood risk as a consequence of urban growth differ over time and space within and between cities. Hypothesis four is used to ensure that future flood risk can be assessed and tests the evidence of disproportionate increase of future flood risk due to growth differentiation. The final hypothesis supports the claim that the outcomes of might lead to an alternative ranking of cities, which supports an alternative prioritisation of urban flood risk management in cities that currently might be underexposed.