ABSTRACT

This chapter aims to determine the effect of coping capacity on longer term adaptation responses in a flood risk management system. Adaptation pathways provide an analytical approach for exploring and sequencing a set of possible actions based on alternative drivers such as climate, land use, demographic and socio economic changes over time. The effect of coping capacity on adaptation pathways is ascertained through the comparison of the ATP's of flood protection measures and their time of occurrence under various scenarios with and without consideration of coping capacities. Adaptation tipping points (ATPs) are the critical magnitude of physical drivers where acceptable physical, technical, ecological, political, societal or economic standards may be compromised. An ATP approach aims to assess the effectiveness of measures while planning under uncertainty, as it helps to quantify the duration for which the measures perform sufficiently well, in turn informing decision makers.