ABSTRACT

Behavioral economists are mainly interested in studying the decision-making tasks that include problem-solving aspects and risky decisions. The logical and probabilistic structure of activity depends on probabilities of outcomes of various decisions. This chapter considers the role of decision-making processes in performance of algorithmic or rule-based tasks because this is a critically important type of task in a production environment. It presents basic distinguishing characteristics of rule-based or algorithmic tasks. Rule-based or algorithmic tasks can be divided into "deterministic-algorithmic tasks" and "probabilistic-algorithmic tasks. The chapter presents a brief analysis of objective and subjective methods of analyzing the probability of events. It describes the method, developed in systemic-structural activity theory, of subjective evaluation of probability of events for rule-based tasks. The scale of the subjective probability evaluation of events has been utilized for the evaluation of probability of decision-making outcomes and the subsequent steps of the task performance.