ABSTRACT
The probabilistic predictive modeling (PPM) approach in human-in-the-loop (HITL) related aerospace problems enables one to predict, quantify, assure, and even specify the probability of the outcome of an aerospace mission or a situation, when the performance of a never-perfect human, never, hundred percentage, reliable instrumentation (equipment), never absolutely predictable response of the object of control, uncertain and often harsh environment, as well as the interaction (interfaces) of these uncertainties, contribute jointly to the likelihood of such an outcome. Measuring the MWL has become a key method of improving aviation safety, and there is an extensive published work devoted to the measurement of the MWL in aviation, both military and commercial. A pilot's MWL can be measured using subjective ratings and/or objective measures. Current research efforts in measuring MWL use psycho-physiological techniques, such as electroencephalographic, cardiac, ocular, and respiration measures in an attempt to identify and predict MWL levels.
