ABSTRACT

This chapter is based on a working paper focused on the development pathways for Longyearbyen’s energy system towards 2050. Modelling is done through the TIMES framework. The model uses different scenarios based on different possible energy futures, both conventional and sustainable. Both experimental and proven technologies are modelled against the existing system. This results in an indicative value for total future system dimensions and lifetime associated costs. Preliminary results indicate that continuation of the current coal powered system is the least-cost option. A transition to experimental nuclear technology increases total costs by 38.5 per cent. Finally, if only renewables are considered, the total system cost would increase by 82.8 per cent.