ABSTRACT
In this paper, a general safety analytical model of a critical infrastructure under the influence of an operation process including operating environment threats related to climate-weather change is applied to safety prediction of maritime ferry. The main safety characteristics of the ferry in its corresponding operating area are evaluated. Namely, there are determined the unconditional safety function, the risk function, the mean lifetime up to the exceeding a critical safety state, the moment when the risk function value exceeds the acceptable safety level, the intensities of ageing and the coefficients of the operation and climate-weather impact on the ferry intensities of ageing.
