ABSTRACT
This chapter presents a way in which to estimate land-use and facility impacts associated with unanticipated change in development pressures. Economic base analysis is used to develop employment coefficients associated with unanticipated change in residential development. The result is less impact per acre of development since it adjusts development for vacancy. Economic base analysis disaggregates local employment into basic and nonbasic parts. The employment impact can be estimated using employment multipliers generated from input-output (I-O) analysis. I-O tables are useful to trace implications of changes in the regional economy; they are not very useful for estimating land-use and facility needs. The direct-effect employment multipliers, however, are useful in a general sense, which is developed. Although the Bureau of Economic Analysis produces I-O tables for regions of any configuration, it does not do so with direct-effect employment multipliers.
