ABSTRACT

The University of Florida's Bureau of Economic and Business Research (BEBR), supplies population projections to Florida's government agencies, and it had made population projections for each of the seven counties to 2030. In order to prepare the trend and alternative models, the Penn study had to extend these projections to 2050. The study assumed that BEBR had a good grasp of the general trend, and that the region was a discrete unit where projected growth could be expected to stay within the seven-county area. According to the trend model, 1.16 million acres of undeveloped land will need to be urbanized by 2050 to accommodate future population growth in the Orlando region, its associated economic activity, and local government facilities and infrastructure. The study estimated the cost of providing local roads, utilities, and other services to newly developed land in the seven-county region at $90,000 an acre, a cumulative cost of $104.7 billion.