ABSTRACT

To compare the impacts of alternative development paths and public sector interventions, in combination with policy contexts and economic futures, we needed to be able to predict the impacts of different combinations of possibilities. To compare these alternatives and assess their impacts, we used two different computer models. An econometric model of the state economy was used for the basic economic analysis. It had been developed by the state and offered regionally disaggregated analyses. To develop cumulative environmental impact assessments, we employed an early version of impact forecasting software to predict impacts under these same sets of conditions. Through the comparison of the modeled scenarios, we were able to forecast relative differences between them in environmental performance.