ABSTRACT

Based on the literature review in the preceding chapter concerning the rationales behind a state’s decision to develop a nonproliferation export control system, one can expect various patterns of state behavior. This chapter examines the evidentiary history of the Ukrainian case and compares it to the behavioral expectations derived from various approaches to IR theory. Accordingly, this chapter is divided into five sections: four for each approach and related expectations and a final section comparing the findings of each section. At each section, the empirical data will be compared with the hypothetical expectations, thereby suggesting the relative strength and weakness of each approach in explaining the Ukrainian case. Here it is important to note that the approaches themselves are not being tested. The approaches, moreover, and derivative expectations are purely heuristic devices employed in order to explain in a systematic and rigorous fashion why Ukraine developed and continues to cooperate on an export control system.