ABSTRACT

This study is to investigate whether China can meet its growing demand for grain mainly by its own effort when its grain demand peaks in about two decades. Traditionally, China's grain pressure mainly came from its huge and fast growing population against limited arable land resources. To a large extent, this pressure was dampened by the stagnation in the growth of its per capita income. However, since the late 1970s, the rapid industrialization, urbanization, and the ensuing rising per capita income have been increasingly exposing China to a new challenge: an increasingly meat-oriented diet.