ABSTRACT

In the last chapter, it was demonstrated how the problem of estimating a generalized

additive model becomes the problem of estimating smoothing parameters and model

coefficients for a penalized likelihood maximization problem, once a basis for the

smooth functions has been chosen, together with associated measures of function

wiggliness. In practice the penalized likelihood maximization problem is solved by

penalized iteratively re-weighted least squares (P-IRLS), while the smoothing pa-

rameters can be estimated using cross validation or related criteria. The purpose of

this chapter is to justify and extend the methods introduced in chapter 3, and to add

some distribution theory to facilitate confidence interval calculation and hypothesis

testing. Table 4.1 lists the main elements of the approach, and where they can be

found within the chapter.