ABSTRACT

The likelihood function discussed in Chapter 3 allows us to compare two parameter

values with respect to the level of support that the sample provides for these values,

and hence to decide whether one parameter value has more support than another.

The objective of this chapter is to use the concept of likelihood to motivate a general

method of estimation, by identifying the most supported value out of all possible

values of the parameter. This is referred to as maximum likelihood estimation, and

can be used to provide estimates in situations where there is no obvious way to esti-

mate the parameter. We begin by discussing how to define the maximum likelihood

estimator followed by a discussion of the concept of statistical information, and its

use in providing standard errors and confidence intervals associated with maximum

likelihood estimates. We then consider properties of maximum likelihood estimation,

using the estimation concepts discussed in Chapter 2, and will see that it generally

provides the best possible approach to estimation. While maximum likelihood esti-

mation is the most important general approach, we will also discuss some alternative

methods that are useful in specific contexts, particularly the method of least squares

estimation. We then illustrate the concepts by continuing our disease incidence ex-

ample from Chapter 3.