ABSTRACT
Key Points .............................................................................................................. 173 Newtonian Social Physics in Human Factors and Safety Research ....................... 174
Causality and Linear Thinking .......................................................................... 174 Reductionism and Reliability ............................................................................ 176
Laboratory Studies and the Legacy of Leipzig ...................................................... 176 Which Method Can Help See into the Future? ...................................................... 178
Experimental Settings ....................................................................................... 178 Closing the Gap from Laboratory Experiment to Future World ....................... 182 Investigating How People Make Sense of Their Work...................................... 184 Find Out What the Users Think ........................................................................ 184 Hostage to the Present, Mute about the Future ................................................. 186
Helping the Designer Look into the Future ........................................................... 189 Supposed Qualitative-Quantitative Divide ....................................................... 190
Ontological Alchemy ............................................................................................. 191 Folk Models ........................................................................................................... 193
Definition by Substitution ................................................................................. 195 Immunity against Falsification .......................................................................... 197 Folk Models versus Young and Promising Models ........................................... 197 Normativism ...................................................................................................... 199 Overgeneralization ............................................................................................200 Does It Matter That We Have Folk Models? ..................................................... 201
Methods in Safety and Human Factors-Where to Go .........................................202 Decline of Essentialism .....................................................................................203 Complexity and Methodological Open-Mindedness ........................................204
