ABSTRACT

Me thods for testing the val idi ty of models are also standard exer-

cises i n the literature, for example, residual analysis (Chatfield, 1989).

The same problems of the appl icabi l i ty of the strict condit ions which

were referred to above i n connection wi th parameter estimation

apply also to these methods. A visual investigation is, therefore,

also necessary i n this context. In fact, it may often be sufficient for

practical purposes. Fur thermore, it must be appreciated that, even

if a part icular model passes a residual analysis test, it does not prove

that there is not some other model which w o u l d give an even better

fit i f tested similarly.