ABSTRACT

This being so, it is reasonable to question whether there is any

point i n m a k i n g sophisticated calculations of the no rma l quantifiable

risks when many of these highly significant and potential ly dangerous

factors cannot be handled i n this way. One answer to this question

wi th regard to unquantifiable risks is to organize adequate audit

and internal cont ro l wi th in insurance companies, supplemented by

effective publ ic supervision, inc lud ing aspects such as whether the

directors and managers are fit and proper persons to manage an

insurance company. If internal and external supervision is lax, no

amount of sophisticated model l ing can guarantee the safety of the

commitments. O n the other hand, supervision cannot and must not

take away from managers the responsibil i ty for good underwri t ing

and for cont ro l l ing claims and for managing changes i n p remium

rates to cope wi th inflation and wi th underwrit ing cycles. These factors

necessitate good financial management of reserves and adequate

solvency margins, inc luding, perhaps, equal izat ion reserves. Satis-

factory cont ro l can only be achieved by a combina t ion of technical

skills, good management and firm supervision.