ABSTRACT

Reliability demonstration of very complex systems can be quite costly. Concept

or design prototypes are often built by hand and then tested until a catastrophic

failure event occurs. Can organizations justify the expenses associated with

design verification testing at the systems level? Can they afford not to? The

economics are such that companies are often unwilling to spare more than two or

three units for testing. Is this a correct strategy? Can reliability be demonstrated

with a specified confidence level when sample sizes are so small? Is it possible to

demonstrate reliability with a small sample, but by testing the small sample to two

or three times’ design life? These questions need to be answered.