chapter  5
Risk, threat, and security institutions 1999
ByCELESTE A. WALLANDER, ROBERT O. KEOHANE
Pages 27

This prediction turned out to be wrong. More than nine years after the Berlin Wall was dismantled and seven years after the Soviet Union collapsed, NATO not only continues to exist but is growing and taking on new tasks. It is an obvious magnet for states of Central and Eastern Europe; it plays a central role in the former Yugoslavia; and it clearly remains the primary instrument of American security policy in Europe. Reports of NATO’s death were exaggerated: like other established international institutions, it remains valuable because of the uncertainty that would result if it disappeared.3