ABSTRACT
In this chapter I shall develop a widely-accepted account of how evidence about contingent propositions should affect our credences in them, an account which does not postulate any confirmation relations. It assumes instead that, for all propositions A and B, the conditional probability P(A|B) will, on any reading of it, satisfy the equation, https://s3-euw1-ap-pe-df-pch-content-public-p.s3.eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/9780203504864/0ffbc490-13ed-49d7-80b5-96b4f4ec0bc9/content/ch7_page91-01_B.tif" xmlns:xlink="https://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"/>
