ABSTRACT

World Integrated Model is a computer model that represents global developments in twelve regions: North America, Western Europe, the Pacific developed countries, the rest of the Western developed world, Eastern Europe, the Soviet Union, the Middle East oil-producing countries, Latin America, Africa, South Asia, Southeast Asia, and China. Once the world context is provided, we can turn our attention to some scenarios for Nigeria and the Sahel, the two regions in Africa with perhaps the best and the worst development prospects for the rest of the century. The Sahel region faces the prospect of population growth with no ready-made facilities for development. The difference in opportunities is emphasized by a comparison of the growth in income per capita. Perhaps the next logical question to ask is whether policies can be developed that would accelerate economic growth and eliminate the prospects for starvation in the Sahel.