ABSTRACT
This chapter discusses the transformations observed in the city of Rio de Janeiro in the past 50 years and presents forecasts on what changes are expected to occur in the next 50 years. In short, since 2016, the demographic bonus has turned into an onus. The results show that Rio is ahead of the country in terms of aging. In this regard, Brazil is achieving in 25 years what France took 100 years to accomplish. In 2065, it will be extremely hard to distinguish between Brazil’s age structure and Rio’s. Copacabana, the neighborhood with the highest share of old people in Rio today, will have 51% of its population aged older than 65 by 2065. The source for youngsters in Rio is the favelas, and public investments should focus on these regions, especially opportunities for education. Regarding the evolution of the social indicators of the city, in the 40 years prior to the Olympic announcement, 10 of 10 indicators had worsened in comparison with the other cities of the metropolitan region, but after the announcement, the score is reversed to 8 versus 2 in favor of the cariocas. The final section presents a summary on the main impacts of the Games.
