ABSTRACT

Anthropologists have often described how their interlocutors make forecasts of all sorts as part of their cultural practices, social organization, and economic systems. Being able to forecast harvests, rainy seasons, wars, electoral results, marriage, illness, as well as good or bad luck in general seems to be an integral part of how societies imagine and organize themselves. In times of climate change, the activity of forecasting gains special significance in the western imagination. Current efforts to tackle climate change involve a range of different objects of forecast, from climate states and weather events to demographic trends, economic scenarios, and conflict analyses.