ABSTRACT
Analysis of climate change scenarios in the Middle East region reveal changes of rainfall distribution and increase of evaporation throughout the seasons. These changes are expected to affect both water availability in the upper catchments of the Jordan River, and the salinity of Lake Kinneret, the source of 30 percent of Israel’s water supply. By application of the system modeling approach to both problems, we learned the nature of each system and used it to predict future scenarios of water availability and salinity under various climate change scenarios. The issues of water availability and salinity in the Lake Kinneret watershed are presented in this chapter. We describe here the problem, the various models that were proposed to address the problem, the basic structure of the proposed model, the results of the prediction analysis, and the conclusions regarding future operation policy and feasibility of interventions.
