chapter  9
6 Pages

Strategic Foresight in the European Union’s Ten New Member

ByState’s Public Policy Making

In May 2004, ten new member states, Poland, the Czech Republic, Hungary, Slovakia, Lithuania, Latvia, Slovenia, Estonia, Cyprus and Malta, joined the European Union. According to Colson and Corm, although these ten new member states have experienced very different historical and political systems, they have all begun to develop competencies in analysing the future, and they all do foresight or futures studies sensu lato, often according to the same institutional outline: a public player (a department under the aegis of the Prime Minister or a main ministry), an academic player (research institute within an academy or one of the country’s major universities) and, where appropriate, a private player (regional or independent organizations). In particular, several countries (Poland, the Czech Republic, Hungary, Estonia and Lithuania) have each drawn up an overall futures study, with the time horizon being 2015 or 2020, in the socio-economic, strategic or demographic fields. Lastly, it is worth noting that technology forecasts are increasingly common in the new member countries.1