ABSTRACT

The ability to anticipate and adapt runs throughout the discussions of resilience in this section and throughout this book (e.g., Chapter 16). It is important at all levels of a system to act now in ways that will help maintain control despite the obstacles that it will, or can, encounter ahead. To be resilient, a system always keep an eye on whether its adaptive capacity, as it is configured and performs currently, is adequate to meet the demands it will, or could, encounter in the future. Missing or discounting signs that adaptive capacity is degrading leaves that system vulnerable to sudden collapse or failures (Woods, 2009a). The chapters in this section identify several patterns in how resilient systems may anticipate that adaptive capacity is falling, that buffers or reserves may become exhausted, that goal priorities should be changed, etc.