ABSTRACT

Risk in Extreme Environments presents a wide-ranging discussion of approaches for assessing and managing extreme risks. Extreme events are not only severe, but also outside the normal range of experience of the system in question, and can include environmental catastrophe; engineering failure; financial or business meltdown; and nuclear or other extreme terrorism. The book focuses on synthesizing research results in a way that provides insights useful to decision makers, and enables them to ask probing questions about the risks faced by their organizations, identify creative solutions, and minimize the neglect of extreme risks that can come from a focus on mundane or ordinary management challenges.

The book details case studies on nuclear power, infectious diseases, and global catastrophic risks, in addition to sections on risk assessment, risk management, and risk perceptions. Since effective management benefits from an interdisciplinary perspective, the chapter authors include experts in economics, engineering, geography, law, political science, psychology, sociology, and science in addition to risk analysis.

Risk in Extreme Environments is an accessible and valuable resource for risk managers and other decision makers responsible for large complex business and government decisions, while also providing enough detail and references to be informative for risk analysts interested in learning more about technical aspects of the various methods.

chapter |6 pages

Introduction

part 1|42 pages

Assessing the risks of extreme events

chapter 2|16 pages

The meaning of black swans

part 2|60 pages

Managing the risks of extreme events

chapter 3|14 pages

“As if their lives depended on it”

High performance in extreme environments

chapter 4|16 pages

Decision making on trial

The extreme situation at Fukushima Dai Ichi

chapter 5|11 pages

Prevention versus response

Application in the management of disease

part 3|36 pages

Perceptions of extreme risks

chapter 7|18 pages

It won't happen to me

The behavioral impact of extreme risks 1

part 4|40 pages

Case studies of extreme risks