ABSTRACT
In an architectural competition's jury, jurors do not only assess the projects as displayed on the plans, they also make meaningful predictions about its future. This chapter shows that architectural competition juries represent the perfect scientific situation to observe and enquire into these questions and that risk management theories represent a pertinent theoretical framework to provide some hypothesis. It presents discussion regarding the two vignettes that took place during the first stage of a two-stage multidisciplinary competition such as architectural, urban design and landscape. The chapter reveals that speculations are not done at random or by hazard, they are necessary and constitutive of architectural judgement in the context of a competition's jury. The Opera de la Bastille case remains a great example for the problematic tackled in this research since the jury based its decision in part on the speculation that the author of the project was the renowned architect Richard Meier.
