ABSTRACT
Research on links between environment and security has produced studies on environmental scarcity as a principal driver that could fuel violent conflicts. The consequences of climate change will intensify sociopolitical and economic problems in the region, depicting possible conflicts within and between states. India's main water resources consist of annual rainfall and transboundary river flows. It is important to stress that Himalayan glaciers will melt more quickly, leading to an increased occurrence of floods and in the medium-long term will jeopardise the water supply for millions of people. Agricultural demand for irrigation is the single largest draw on India's water. Without irrigation, farmers in rain-fed agriculture will have to face food shortages, demanding help from the government and even international aid. Climate change related to warming and decreasing precipitation, drought and floods are expected to induce more internal migrations from rural to urban areas, thus increasing the overpopulation of cities and the proportion of vulnerable people living in urban areas.
