ABSTRACT
This paper discusses the analysis and design of emergency planning in an integrated framework of risk analysis. Two aspects are taken into consideration:
— Risk analysis of the installation (industrial or civil), for deciding upon the reference accident scenarios, both in terms of their consequences and their probability
— Detailed representation and modelling of emergency plans, to quantify their effectiveness in risk reduction
This approach, in effect, considers emergency plans as virtual ‘safety systems’ and quantifies their effectiveness and reliability as such.
