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Book

Economic Complexity and Equilibrium Illusion

Book

Economic Complexity and Equilibrium Illusion

DOI link for Economic Complexity and Equilibrium Illusion

Economic Complexity and Equilibrium Illusion book

Essays on Market Instability and Macro Vitality

Economic Complexity and Equilibrium Illusion

DOI link for Economic Complexity and Equilibrium Illusion

Economic Complexity and Equilibrium Illusion book

Essays on Market Instability and Macro Vitality
Edited ByPing Chen
Edition 1st Edition
First Published 2010
eBook Published 21 March 2010
Pub. Location London
Imprint Routledge
DOI https://doi.org/10.4324/9780203855058
Pages 272
eBook ISBN 9780203855058
Subjects Economics, Finance, Business & Industry
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Chen, P. (Ed.). (2010). Economic Complexity and Equilibrium Illusion: Essays on Market Instability and Macro Vitality (1st ed.). Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9780203855058

ABSTRACT

The Principle of Large Numbers indicates that macro fluctuations have weak microfoundations; persistent business cycles and interrupted technologies can be better characterized by macro vitality and meso foundations. Economic growth is limited by market extent and ecological constraints. The trade-off between stability and complexity is the foundation of cultural diversity and mixed economies. The new science of complexity sheds light on the sources of economic instability and complexity.

This book consists of the major work of Professor Ping Chen, a pioneer in studying economic chaos and economic complexity. They are selected from works completed since 1987, including original research on the evolutionary dynamics of the division of labour, empirical and theoretical studies of economic chaos and stochastic models of collective behavior. Offering a new perspective on market instability and the changing world order, the basic pillars in equilibrium economics are challenged by solid evidence of economic complexity and time asymmetry, including Friedman’s theory of exogenous money and efficient market, the Frisch model of noise-driven cycles, the Lucas model of microfoundations and rational expectations, the Black-Scholes model of option pricing, and the Coase theory of transaction costs.

Throughout, a general theory based on complex evolutionary economics is developed, which integrates different insights from Marx, Marshall, Schumpeter, Keynes and offers a new understanding of the evolutionary history of division of labour. This book will be of interest to postgraduates and researchers in Economics, including macroeconomics, financial economics, advanced econometrics and economic methodology.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

chapter 1|8 pages

Introduction

part |2 pages

PART I Methodological review: economic complexity, equilibrium illusion, and evolutionary dynamics

chapter 2|42 pages

Equilibrium illusion, economic complexity, and evolutionary foundation in economic analysis

chapter 3|30 pages

Evolutionary economic dynamics: persistent cycles, disruptive technology, and the trade- off between stability and complexity

part |2 pages

PART II Macro vitality: trend–cycle separation, economic chaos, and persistent cycles

chapter 4|29 pages

Empirical and theoretical evidence of economic chaos

chapter 5|37 pages

Searching for economic chaos: A challenge to econometric practice and nonlinear tests

chapter 6|22 pages

A random walk or color chaos on the stock market? Time–frequency analysis of S&P indexes

chapter 7|26 pages

Trends, shocks, persistent cycles in evolving economy: business- cycle measurement in time–frequency representation

part |2 pages

PART III Micro interaction and population dynamics: learning, communication, and market share competition

chapter 8|9 pages

Origin of division of labor and stochastic mechanism of differentiation

chapter 9|7 pages

Imitation, learning, and communication: Central or polarized patterns in collective actions

chapter 10|14 pages

Needham’s question and China’s evolution: Cases of nonequilibrium social transition

chapter 11|6 pages

China’s challenge to economic orthodoxy: Asian reform as an evolutionary, self- organizing process

part |2 pages

PART IV Equilibrium illusion and meso foundation: perpetual motion machine, representative agents, and organization diversity

chapter 12|12 pages

The Frisch model of business cycles: A spurious doctrine, but a mysterious success

chapter 13|19 pages

Microfoundations of macroeconomic fluctuations and the laws of probability theory: The Principle of Large Numbers vs. rational expectations arbitrage

chapter 14|13 pages

Complexity of transaction costs and evolution of corporate governance

part |2 pages

PART V Market instability, natural experiments, and government policy

chapter 15|16 pages

Market instability and economic complexity: Theoretical lessons from transition experiments

chapter 16|19 pages

From an efficient to a viable international financial market

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