ABSTRACT

Today's business environment involves design decisions with significant uncertainty. To succeed, decision-makers should replace deterministic methods with a risk-based approach that accounts for the decision maker‘s risk tolerance. In many problems, it is impractical to collect data because rare or one-time events are involved. Therefore, we need a

chapter 1|14 pages

Design Decision under Uncertainty

chapter 3|92 pages

Objective Probability

chapter 5|96 pages

Probabilistic Analysis of Dynamic Systems

chapter 6|90 pages

Subjective (Bayesian) Probability

chapter 7|84 pages

Decision Analysis

chapter 8|20 pages

Multiattribute Considerations in Design