This book offers a one-stop resource for performing quantitative risk analyses. The authors provide practical case studies along with detailed instruction and illustration of the features of ModelRisk, the most advanced risk modeling spreadsheet software currently available. The specific examples in the text demonstrate a number of cutting-edge tools and techniques that are very powerful in risk analysis but that are not available in other spreadsheet simulation programs. The book covers modeling complex correlations, aggregating uncertainty and variability, and estimating parameter and model uncertainty. The included CD-ROM provides a 120-day trial of ModelRisk.

chapter 1|22 pages

Conceptual Maps and Models

chapter 3|40 pages

Modeling with Objects

chapter 4|38 pages

Selecting Distributions

chapter 5|42 pages

Modeling Relationships

chapter 6|40 pages

Time Series Models

chapter 7|40 pages

Optimization and Decision Making