Winner of the 2017 De Groot Prize awarded by the International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)A relatively new area of research, adversarial risk analysis (ARA) informs decision making when there are intelligent opponents and uncertain outcomes. Adversarial Risk Analysis develops methods for allocating defensive or offensive resources against

chapter 1|30 pages

Games and Decisions

chapter 2|36 pages

Simultaneous Games

chapter 3|22 pages


chapter 4|34 pages

Sequential Games

chapter 6|22 pages

A Security Case Study

chapter 7|8 pages

Other Issues